Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Ben Shelton		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.29
	1.35	3.56
	1.35	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.45
	1.37	3.17	Watch
	1.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
71.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ben Shelton - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 44.5 Games - over (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 Sets - over (3.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 9. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 53.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shelton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Ben Shelton - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
13.08.26	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
16.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Ben Shelton	2:0

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