Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)	2.07 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
55%

Henri Squire
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henri Squire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumit Nagal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henri Squire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Squire will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 278. Squire is ranked ATP: 258.

In recent matches, Nagal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Squire's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Federico Cina - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Henri Squire - Stefan Palosi	Palosi S. retired ✺
23.02.26	Henri Squire - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Felix Balshaw - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire	0:2
31.07.22	Henri Squire - Sumit Nagal	0:2

Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide