Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.64	2.36
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	3.11	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.63)	2.08 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
53.1%

Sumit Nagal
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lukas Neumayer - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nagal will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 230. Nagal is ranked ATP: 282.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Neumayer might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neumayer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
06.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Jacopo Vasami	Vasami J. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LW?LW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
26.02.26	Sumit Nagal - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Federico Cina - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Sumit Nagal - Lukas Neumayer	0:2

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