Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Sumit Nagal		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.44	1.56	Watch
	2.46	1.61
	2.36	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.37	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
39.2%

Mariano Navone
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	0%	78.8%

Sumit Nagal - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nagal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Navone will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Pedro Cachin - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Sumit Nagal - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Mariano Navone - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.24	Mariano Navone - Giles Hussey	0:2
25.06.24	Mariano Navone - Kei Nishikori	Canceled ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Mariano Navone - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Mariano Navone - Tomas Machac	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LL?LL

Sumit Nagal - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide