Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
			Watch
	1.82	1.88
	1.93	1.92
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
50.4%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sumit Nagal - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 276. Herbert is ranked ATP: 213.

Recent form of Nagal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Herbert has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nagal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Pierre-Hugues Herbert - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Sumit Nagal	Giustino L. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LW
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Cezar Cretu - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
19.04.21	Sumit Nagal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2
ATP Cologne 2
18.10.20	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Sumit Nagal	2:0

Sumit Nagal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide