Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Talia Gibson		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.36
	3.44	1.36
	3.29	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.22	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.53)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talia Gibson
29.5%

Jasmine Paolini
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talia Gibson's form might have worsened.

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talia Gibson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gibson will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Paolini will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gibson: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gibson (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Paolini (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Gibson (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Gibson (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Gibson (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gibson (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Paolini (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gibson is ranked WTA: 112. Paolini is ranked WTA: 7.

Gibson is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paolini is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gibson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paolini is the team to beat.

We predict that Paolini will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jasmine Paolini - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.62%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talia Gibson
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.26	Talia Gibson - Clara Tauson	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Talia Gibson - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Elvina Kalieva - Talia Gibson	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Madison Brengle - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Priscilla Hon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

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