Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Tallon Griekspoor		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.5
	1.58	2.57
	1.53	2.51	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.57	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	2.51 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
61.9%

Damir Dzumhur
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tallon Griekspoor - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tallon Griekspoor will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 33. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 84.

Recent form of Griekspoor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dzumhur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dzumhur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Griekspoor might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.97%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Gael Monfils - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tallon Griekspoor	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
27.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLL?W
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
05.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WL?LW

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