Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Damir Dzumhur		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.79	2.08
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.58)	2.01 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
53.5%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	0%	10.7%

Damir Dzumhur - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Damir Dzumhur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 74. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 141.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dzumhur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dzumhur could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Nuno Borges - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Damir Dzumhur - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Damir Dzumhur - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Damir Dzumhur - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide