Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Tallon Griekspoor		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.67
	2.18	1.68	Watch
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.20	1.69
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
43.2%

Denis Shapovalov
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Griekspoor: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 55., and Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 50..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Griekspoor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Griekspoor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.69%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Tallon Griekspoor	Canceled ✺
ATP Montreal
09.08.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?WL?L
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Denis Shapovalov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
14.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	1:2
ATP Geneva
23.05.24	Denis Shapovalov - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2

Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide