Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm (Sweden), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stockholm (Sweden) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Tallon Griekspoor		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.46	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.76
	1.47	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
65.3%

Pavel Kotov
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallon Griekspoor's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallon Griekspoor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Griekspoor: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 40. Kotov is ranked ATP: 56.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Griekspoor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Griekspoor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Jordan Thompson - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Pavel Kotov - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Pavel Kotov - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
20.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	0:2
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	3:0
ATP Marrakech
06.04.22	Pavel Kotov - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1
ATP Challenger
13.03.20	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	Canceled
23.04.19	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	✺

Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov