Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Yi Zhou		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.17)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
41.6%

Pavel Kotov
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yi Zhou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 220. Kotov is ranked ATP: 299.

Zhou has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kotov is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kotov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zhou won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Yi Zhou - Kody Pearson	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Yi Zhou - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Yi Zhou - Ognjen Milic	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Yi Zhou - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
23.03.26	Harry Wendelken - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWL?L
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
12.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov	1:2

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