Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Taro Daniel		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.35
	3.2	1.36
	3.52	1.35
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	3.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.57)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
29.5%

Gael Monfils
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taro Daniel's form might have worsened.

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taro Daniel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Taro Daniel - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Monfils will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Daniel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monfils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monfils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monfils is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Daniel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Taro Daniel - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Taro Daniel - Seong Chan Hong	2:1 ✺
22.08.23	Taro Daniel - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Taro Daniel - Milos Raonic	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Gael Monfils - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Cameron Norrie - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
11.08.23	Gael Monfils - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
10.08.23	Gael Monfils - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.05.19	Taro Daniel - Gael Monfils	0:3

Taro Daniel - Gael Monfils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide