Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jakub Mensik		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	3.24	1.36	Watch
	3.33	1.37	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.96)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
28.9%

Taylor Harry Fritz
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Jakub Mensik - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Fritz will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 54. Fritz is ranked ATP: 4.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Fritz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fritz to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik	Mensik J. walkover ✺
24.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 W?WWW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
01.09.23	Jakub Mensik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3

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