Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	2.78 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
65.9%

Matteo Berrettini
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Berrettini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Berrettini will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 64.1% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 30.

Fritz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Berrettini is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fritz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fritz won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
28.08.24	Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3
ATP United Cup
08.01.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
12.10.21	Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1

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