Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Terence Atmane		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.62
	1.67	2.13	Watch
			Watch
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.67)	1.72 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terence Atmane
44.3%

Hugo Gaston
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terence Atmane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Terence Atmane's form might have worsened.

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Terence Atmane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Terence Atmane - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atmane will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gaston will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Gaston (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Gaston (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Atmane is ranked ATP: 69. Gaston is ranked ATP: 101.

Atmane has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gaston is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Gaston will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atmane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terence Atmane
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Terence Atmane - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Canceled ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Terence Atmane	Atmane T. retired ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Terence Atmane - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 L??LW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Terence Atmane - Hugo Gaston	2:1
01.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Terence Atmane	2:0

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