Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	3.01	1.36	Watch
	3	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
31.1%

Hugo Gaston
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Calvin Hemery - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 207. Gaston is ranked ATP: 97.

Hemery has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gaston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gaston is a strong favorite.

We predict that Gaston will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hemery won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Brussels
12.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
07.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LL?WL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Borna Gojo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Viktor Durasovic - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.01.24	Hugo Gaston - Calvin Hemery	Canceled

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