Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Rask K. (Gbr)


	Thanasi Kokkinakis		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.48	2.47
	1.55	2.49
	1.55	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.48	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	2.49 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis
62.3%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thanasi Kokkinakis's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thanasi Kokkinakis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Bautista-Agut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kokkinakis will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kokkinakis is ranked ATP: 91. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 76.

Kokkinakis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bautista-Agut is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kokkinakis will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kokkinakis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Korda S. retired ✺
31.07.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Max Purcell - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
23.07.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Borna Coric	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 W?WW?
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.24	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Fabio Fognini	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide 2
13.01.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Roberto Bautista-Agut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide