Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Tommy Paul		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.26	3.7	Watch
	1.24	4.1	Watch
	1.25	4.38
	1.25	3.92	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.27	3.81	Watch
	1.24	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	4.04 ↑ (3.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
76.4%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 12. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 56.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 3.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Jack Draper - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.25	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Tommy Paul - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
07.07.24	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0
ATP Australian Open
23.01.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	1:3
ATP Paris
01.11.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP Toronto
11.08.21	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Roma
11.05.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

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