Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
			Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.33
	1.56	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	2.26 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
58.5%

Ethan Quinn
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Thiago Monteiro - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Quinn will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Monteiro (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 94. Quinn is ranked ATP: 119.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Monteiro - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.64%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Elmer Moller - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Guido Ivan Justo	Canceled ✺
23.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WL?LW
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Borna Coric - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.25	Colton Smith - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWL

Thiago Monteiro - Ethan Quinn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide