Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Houston 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	08:45	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	00:45	Max Sport 1
Denmark	23:45	TV2 Play
Finland	00:45	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	23:45	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	23:45	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	22:45	Sport TV3
Romania	00:45	Prima Sport PPV 2
Sweden	23:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Colton Smith		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.52	2.49	Watch
	1.47	2.64	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.52	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.8)	2.52 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
62.4%

Ethan Quinn
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colton Smith's performance.

Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethan Quinn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colton Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethan Quinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Colton Smith - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: Colton Smith will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 200. Quinn is ranked ATP: 130.

Smith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Quinn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Quinn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Smith won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Colton Smith - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Liam Draxl - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Evan Zhu - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Nuno Borges - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Ethan Quinn - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Ethan Quinn - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Colton Smith - Ethan Quinn	2:1

Colton Smith - Ethan Quinn