Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Thiago Monteiro		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.24	3.7	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.25	4.05
	1.22	3.81	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.22	4.02	Watch
	1.21	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.49)	3.8 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
75.5%

Mitchell Krueger
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Krueger will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 106. Krueger is ranked ATP: 151.

Monteiro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krueger has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monteiro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monteiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Thiago Monteiro - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Thiago Monteiro - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Elmer Moller - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Mitchell Krueger - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger	2:0

Thiago Monteiro - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide