Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GENOVA (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Thiago Monteiro		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.68
	2.24	1.7
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.17	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)	1.68 (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
43.9%

Fabio Fognini
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Thiago Monteiro - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Monteiro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fognini in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Fognini to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
08.09.23	Chun Hsin Tseng - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
07.09.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Thiago Monteiro - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
08.09.23	Zsombor Piros - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Giovanni Oradini - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Valentin Vacherot - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	Fognini F. retired ✺
29.08.23	Fabio Fognini - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWW?W

Thiago Monteiro - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide