Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 August 2026, Tuesday
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Thiago Monteiro |
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Tom Gentzsch |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 23.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Thiago Monteiro 52.3% | Tom Gentzsch 47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tom Gentzsch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Gentzsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Thiago Monteiro - Tom Gentzsch Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gentzsch will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Monteiro is ranked ATP: 276. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 185.Monteiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Gentzsch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Gentzsch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The players have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Tom Gentzsch - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.99%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;