Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Thiago Monteiro		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.40	1.50	Watch
	2.48	1.50	Watch
	2.60	1.55
	2.52	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.55
	2.50	1.47	Watch
	2.35	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.25)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
37.8%

Andrea Pellegrino
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 303. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 137.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 4.

Monteiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pellegrino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pellegrino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pellegrino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Alberto Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Philip Henning - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
19.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
25.09.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
29.09.21	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2
25.09.20	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1
03.09.19	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
18.09.18	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	1:2

Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide