Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Thiago Seyboth Wild		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.92	Watch
	1.93	1.97
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2.02	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	1.98 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild
51.9%

Arthur Fils
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Fils will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seyboth Wild: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Seyboth Wild is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fils is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Jaume Munar - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Andrea Vavassori - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Arthur Fils - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.24	Arthur Fils - Tallon Griekspoor	1:3 ✺
15.01.24	Arthur Fils - Jiri Vesely	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
11.01.24	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

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