Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 East Lansing, MI, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Thomas John Fancutt		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.16	1.61
	2.42	1.58
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.45	1.54
	2.13	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.16)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas John Fancutt
41.1%

Karl Poling
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas John Fancutt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas John Fancutt than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Thomas John Fancutt - Karl Poling Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fancutt is ranked ATP: 802. Poling is ranked ATP: 482.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fancutt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas John Fancutt
ITF Tournaments
11.08.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Lincoln Battle	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Thomas John Fancutt	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Jie Cui - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Hiroki Moriya - Thomas John Fancutt	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Kaylan Bigun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW
- Karl Poling
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Jesse Flores - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Aidan Kim - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Tyler Zink - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Kokoro Isomura - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Noah Zamora - Karl Poling	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLW?

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