Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Tibo Colson		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.48	2.84
	1.4	2.73
	1.5	2.5
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.65 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tibo Colson
64.7%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tibo Colson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tibo Colson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Alejandro Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tibo Colson - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hernandez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Colson is ranked ATP: 500. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 492.

Colson is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hernandez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Colson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tibo Colson - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.77%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tibo Colson
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Tibo Colson - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Alafia Ayeni - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Tibo Colson - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tibo Colson	2:0

Upcoming Matches