Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Timofey Skatov		Hynek Barton

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
53.9%

Hynek Barton
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hynek Barton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hynek Barton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Timofey Skatov - Hynek Barton Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Barton will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barton: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hynek Barton will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 215. Barton is ranked ATP: 342.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skatov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Hynek Barton - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Matteo Martineau	Canceled ✺
03.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LLW
- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Hynek Barton - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Hynek Barton - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Hynek Barton - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Hynek Barton - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Richard Berankis - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Hynek Barton - Timofey Skatov	0:2
19.09.24	Hynek Barton - Timofey Skatov	2:0

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