Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.18	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	1.62 (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
42.3%

Ignacio Buse
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Timofey Skatov - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buse will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Timofey Skatov will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 233. Buse is ranked ATP: 192.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Skatov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Buse could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
28.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.25	Timofey Skatov - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
30.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Luca Castagnola - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Ignacio Buse - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Radu Albot - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

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