Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Timofey Skatov		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.6	2.2
			Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.62	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)	2.29 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
59.4%

Matteo Martineau
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timofey Skatov - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 214. Martineau is ranked ATP: 279.

Recent performances by Skatov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martineau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Skatov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Skatov might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Hugo Dellien - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Matteo Martineau - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Pierre Delage - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Timofey Skatov - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide