Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Timofey Skatov		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	6.5	1.11	Watch
	6	1.12
	6	1.12	Watch
	6.16	1.15
	5.56	1.15	Watch
	6.5	1.11	Watch
	6.3	1.12	Watch
	6	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↑ (3.12)	1.13 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
15.5%

Tomas Machac
84.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timofey Skatov's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Timofey Skatov - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Machac will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 194. Machac is ranked ATP: 33.

Recent matches Skatov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machac is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Skatov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Machac is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Hynek Barton - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Franco Agamenone - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Timofey Skatov - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
22.08.24	Billy Harris - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Shanghai
12.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LWWWW

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