Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.12	5.8
	1.13	7.19
	1.15	4.95	Watch
	1.13	6
	1.21	4.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.1)	5.52 ↓ (6.05)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
82.7%

Tomas Machac
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Machac will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5 Games - Machac (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2. Machac is ranked ATP: 47.

Alcaraz Garfia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Machac has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcaraz Garfia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.1 are the expected chance of winning is 84.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
10.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
11.09.24	Tomas Machac - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Machac T. retired

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