Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - Final

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Tomas Machac		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.75	2.21
	1.73	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	2.21 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
56.9%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	0%	24.2%

Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 25. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 48.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machac will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Machac - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Acapulco
28.02.25	Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Learner Tien - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Acapulco
28.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Machac	Davidovich Fokina A. walkover

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