Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Titouan Droguet		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.7
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.83
	1.42	2.81	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.73	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
65.8%

Arthur Gea
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Titouan Droguet's performance.

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Gea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Titouan Droguet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Gea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Titouan Droguet - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Droguet (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Titouan Droguet will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 232. Gea is ranked ATP: 305.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Droguet is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Borna Coric - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Titouan Droguet - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Chris Rodesch - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Federico Coria - Titouan Droguet	Coria F. retired ✺
14.05.25	Titouan Droguet - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLW?W
- Arthur Gea
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Arthur Gea - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Arthur Gea	Gea A. retired ✺
30.04.25	Arthur Gea - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Iannis Miletich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?LLW

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