Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Bernabe Zapata Miralles		Arthur Gea

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.11
	1.83	1.92	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
54.2%

Arthur Gea
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 330. Gea is ranked ATP: 296.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zapata Miralles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zapata Miralles won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Jaime Faria - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Arthur Gea - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Iannis Miletich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Alessandro Spadola - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.10.24	Arthur Gea - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1

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