Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Titouan Droguet		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.27	3.88
	1.24	3.85	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	3.8	Watch
	1.22	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)	3.87 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
75.8%

Yuta Shimizu
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Titouan Droguet's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Titouan Droguet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Titouan Droguet - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 206. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 193.

Droguet is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Droguet is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Mathys Erhard - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Titouan Droguet - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	Droguet T. retired ✺
28.04.25	Titouan Droguet - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Titouan Droguet - Dominik Koepfer	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W?WL?
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Benoit Paire - Yuta Shimizu	Paire B. retired ✺
22.04.25	Yuta Shimizu - James Kent Trotter	Canceled ✺
16.04.25	Adam Walton - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Jelle Sels - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ??LWL

Titouan Droguet - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide