Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Titouan Droguet		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.51	2.73
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.83)	2.52 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
62.8%

Jacob Fearnley
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Titouan Droguet's performance.

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Titouan Droguet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Titouan Droguet - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Titouan Droguet will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 109. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 123.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Titouan Droguet - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Patrick Kypson - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Jacob Fearnley - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWW?L

Titouan Droguet - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide