Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Martin Damm		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.06	1.77
	2.12	1.79
	2	1.77	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.07	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
46.8%

Jacob Fearnley
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Fearnley will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 133. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 83.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Damm - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Martin Damm - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Remy Bertola - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
07.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

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