Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.14	1.63
	2.26	1.73
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.66)	1.66 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
43.5%

Jacob Fearnley
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Fearnley will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 128. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 110.

In recent matches, Mochizuki has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fearnley might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LLWL

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