Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.65
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.25	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
41.1%

Jacob Fearnley
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 95. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 123.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fearnley could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.42%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Luca Potenza - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?LLW

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide