Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Toby Alex Kodat		Mirza Basic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.34	1.63
	2.2	1.59	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.89)	1.65 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Alex Kodat
43.6%

Mirza Basic
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Alex Kodat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toby Alex Kodat's form might have worsened.

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirza Basic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Toby Alex Kodat - Mirza Basic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Basic will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Basic (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kodat is ranked ATP: 352. Basic is ranked ATP: 520.

Kodat is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Basic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kodat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mirza Basic - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Alex Kodat
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Kenny De Schepper	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Marcelo Demoliner	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.25	Mitchell Krueger - Toby Alex Kodat	Kodat T. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Michael Geerts - Toby Alex Kodat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWL?L
- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Dino Prizmic - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Mirza Basic - Kalin Ivanovski	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Daniel Michalski - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Mirza Basic - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Toby Alex Kodat - Mirza Basic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide