Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Martin Damm		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.54	2.33
	1.55	2.55
	1.51	2.48	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
61.6%

Toby Samuel
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Martin Damm - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Samuel will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 115. Samuel is ranked ATP: 161.

Damm is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samuel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Damm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Damm - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Martin Damm - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Martin Damm - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Martin Damm - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Martin Damm - Jelle Sels	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWW?
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Raul Brancaccio - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Toby Samuel - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.05.25	Toby Samuel - Martin Damm	1:2

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