Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.25
	1.6	2.21
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)	2.24 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
58.1%

Aleksandar Vukic
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Kotov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pavel Kotov - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vukic will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 187., and Vukic is ranked ATP: 115..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Kotov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kotov has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pavel Kotov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.8%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Martin Damm - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Jie Cui - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Evan Zhu	Vukic A. Retired ✺
28.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rei Sakamoto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.08.19	Pavel Kotov - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2

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