Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.20	1.63	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.20	1.67
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.05)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
44%

Aleksandar Vukic
56%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Hayato Matsuoka - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 247., and Vukic is ranked ATP: 115..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Matsuoka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Vukic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.07%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Qian Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Arthur Weber - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Pavel Kotov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Jie Cui - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Evan Zhu	Vukic A. Retired ✺
28.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LW?WL

Hayato Matsuoka - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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