Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Campistol J. (Esp)


	Tomas Machac		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.21	1.74
	2.22	1.74
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
44.1%

Ben Shelton
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	0%	70.8%

Tomas Machac - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Shelton will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Machac is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shelton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shelton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Shelton to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Tomas Machac - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Machac	Davidovich Fokina A. walkover ✺
16.04.24	Tomas Machac - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.24	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 W?WLW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Houston
07.04.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Ben Shelton - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Ben Shelton - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

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