Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:45	beIN Sports
Brazil	10:45	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	16:45	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	15:45	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	15:45	TV2 Sport
Germany	15:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	15:45	Match 4
Portugal	14:45	Sport TV2
Romania	16:45	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Tomas Machac		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.5	1.52
	2.6	1.54
	2.6	1.55
	2.6	1.5
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.28)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
36.9%

Matteo Arnaldi
63.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Machac won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Tomas Machac - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Tomas Machac - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Machac	Davidovich Fokina A. walkover ✺
16.04.24	Tomas Machac - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.24	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW?WL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Christopher OConnell - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
26.03.24	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0
ATP Dubai
26.02.23	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0

Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi