Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.37	1.37
	3.37	1.37
	3.1	1.36
	3.13	1.37	Watch
	3.25	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.04)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
29.5%

Ben Shelton
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Musetti - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Shelton will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match Shelton is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Martin Landaluce - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.24	Ben Shelton - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Ben Shelton - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Ben Shelton - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
29.02.24	Casper Ruud - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
21.06.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Ben Shelton	2:1

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