Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	James Duckworth		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.71	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
44.5%

Alex Michelsen
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

James Duckworth - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Michelsen will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Duckworth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 87. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 38.

Duckworth is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Michelsen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duckworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.76%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Terence Atmane - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	James Duckworth - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Alex Michelsen - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
19.07.23	James Duckworth - Alex Michelsen	1:2

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