Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Tomas Machac		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2	Watch
	1.81	2.00	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.8	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.57)	2.02 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
53.2%

Jaume Munar
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaume Munar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Tomas Machac - Jaume Munar Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tomas Machac will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 35. Munar is ranked ATP: 38.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Machac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Machac could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaume Munar - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Tomas Machac - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Tomas Machac - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Jiri Lehecka - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Tomas Machac	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW
- Jaume Munar
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Jaume Munar - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Daniel Altmaier - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
04.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
23.11.25	Flavio Cobolli - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches