The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Sonego 44.1%
Jaume Munar 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaume Munar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaume Munar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
0%
26.7%
Lorenzo Sonego - Jaume Munar Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Munar will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Sonego will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Sonego is ranked ATP: 35.Munar is ranked ATP: 46.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Munar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.